Hci Group Stock Performance
| HCI Stock | USD 156.25 0.09 0.06% |
The firm retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.79, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, HCI's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding HCI is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, HCI Group has a negative expected return of -0.22%. Please make sure to check out HCI's jensen alpha, kurtosis, price action indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to decide if HCI Group performance from the past will be repeated in the future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days HCI Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's fundamental indicators remain fairly strong which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The recent confusion may also be a sign of long-lasting up-swing for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return (0.06) | Five Day Return (1.68) | Year To Date Return (15.03) | Ten Year Return 387.22 | All Time Return 2.5 K |
Forward Dividend Yield 0.0102 | Payout Ratio | Forward Dividend Rate 1.6 | Dividend Date 2026-03-20 | Ex Dividend Date 2026-02-20 |
1 | SG Americas Securities LLC Has 4.43 Million Stock Position in HCI Group, Inc. HCI | 11/18/2025 |
2 | Brokers Suggest Investing in HCI Group Read This Before Placing a Bet | 12/03/2025 |
| HCI dividend paid on 19th of December 2025 | 12/19/2025 |
3 | United Fire Group, Inc Hit a 52 Week High, Can the Run Continue | 12/23/2025 |
4 | Acquisition by Paresh Patel of 1500 shares of HCI at 69.2 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/06/2026 |
5 | HCI Group Dips More Than Broader Market What You Should Know | 01/13/2026 |
6 | Does Soaring EPS Expectations and Rich Valuation Change The Bull Case For HCI Group | 01/15/2026 |
7 | Here is What to Know Beyond Why HCI Group, Inc. is a Trending Stock | 01/16/2026 |
8 | HCI Group Stock Falls Amid Market Uptick What Investors Need to Know | 01/22/2026 |
9 | Is HCI Group a Buy as Wall Street Analysts Look Optimistic | 01/23/2026 |
10 | HCI Group, Inc. ABullCase Theory | 02/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 539.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -260.1 M |
HCI Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 18,097 in HCI Group on November 7, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (2,472) from holding HCI Group or give up 13.66% of portfolio value over 90 days. HCI Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 2.0101% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 18% of stocks are less volatile than HCI, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
HCI Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of HCI Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 156.25 | 90 days | 156.25 | over 95.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of HCI to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.96 (This HCI Group probability density function shows the probability of HCI Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
HCI Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for HCI
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as HCI Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of HCI's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
HCI Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. HCI is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the HCI's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold HCI Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of HCI within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.41 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.79 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 12.91 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.2 |
HCI Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of HCI for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for HCI Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HCI Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HCI Group has 186.44 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.64, which is OK given its current industry classification. HCI Group has a current ratio of 0.82, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for HCI to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 82.0% of HCI shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 19th of December 2025 HCI paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: HCI Group, Inc. ABullCase Theory |
HCI Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of HCI Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential HCI's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. HCI's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
HCI Fundamentals Growth
HCI Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of HCI, and HCI fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on HCI Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.33 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.41 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.25 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.08 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 12.96 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 10.45 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.47 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 2.48 X | ||||
| Revenue | 749.45 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 398.75 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 191.01 M | ||||
| Net Income | 109.95 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 532.47 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 39.86 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 186.44 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.64 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.84 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 43.12 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 331.82 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 15.77 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 2.03 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.23 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 331.79 M | ||||
About HCI Performance
By evaluating HCI's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can gain valuable insights into HCI's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability, helping them make informed investment and management decisions. For instance, if HCI has a high ROA and ROE, it suggests that the company is efficiently using its assets and equity to generate substantial profits, making it an attractive investment. Conversely, if HCI has a low ROA and ROE, it may indicate underlying issues in asset and equity management, signaling a need for operational improvements. Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | -1.3 K | -1.3 K | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.09 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.05 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.28 | 0.18 |
Things to note about HCI Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about HCI for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for HCI Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| HCI Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| HCI Group has 186.44 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.64, which is OK given its current industry classification. HCI Group has a current ratio of 0.82, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for HCI to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 82.0% of HCI shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| On 19th of December 2025 HCI paid $ 0.4 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: HCI Group, Inc. ABullCase Theory |
- Analyzing HCI's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether HCI's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining HCI's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating HCI's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of HCI's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of HCI's stock. These opinions can provide insight into HCI's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Complementary Tools for HCI Stock analysis
When running HCI's price analysis, check to measure HCI's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HCI is operating at the current time. Most of HCI's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HCI's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HCI's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HCI to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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